WARS AND SUPPLY DISRUPTIONS RAISE GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY ALARM, JAISHANKAR WARNS

September 30, 2026

External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar has warned that escalating conflicts in Ukraine and the Iran-Gulf region could trigger a major global food crisis in the coming months, as disruptions to grain shipments, fertiliser shortages and rising energy costs place growing pressure on vulnerable economies.

Speaking at an event hosted by the Asia Society in New York, Jaishankar highlighted the economic consequences of the two conflicts, particularly for countries across the Global South. He cautioned that interruptions to grain exports, especially through the Black Sea, could further strain international food supplies and intensify concerns over food affordability.

The minister also pointed to significant shortages of fertilisers, noting that key production centres in West Asia and Russia have been affected by geopolitical instability. Restricted access to agricultural inputs could increase farming costs, affect crop production and contribute to higher food prices in the months ahead.

Jaishankar warned that the pressures extend beyond agriculture, with disruptions to oil supplies and volatility in energy markets adding to the economic difficulties. He described the combined impact of food, fuel, fertiliser and financial pressures as particularly challenging for developing countries, where limited economic resources can make it harder to absorb external shocks.

He further cautioned that adverse climate conditions, including the possibility of a strong El Niño, could compound existing risks to agricultural output. The interaction between geopolitical conflicts, disrupted supply chains and unfavourable weather patterns could place additional pressure on food production and distribution.

Jaishankar called for greater consideration of the international consequences of national economic and energy policies, stressing that the needs of vulnerable economies should not be overlooked. His warning underscores growing concerns over the interconnected risks facing global food systems and the potential economic and social repercussions for developing nations.